09. Research on fog forecast on the sea of Quang Ninh - Hai Phong
Abstract
Monitoring data at Co To, Cua Ong, Bach Long Vy, Hon Dau stations at the sea of Quang Ninh - Hai Phong and GFS model data from 2014 - 2019 were used for building a 24-hour fog prediction equation, using a multi-dimensional regression function for months 1, 2, 3, 4 and 12. The results of the research and evaluation forecast on the dependent and independent data series showed that the forecast equations for January, February and March at Co To, Cua Ong and Bach Long Vy stations were selected to recommend forecasting the occurrence of fog at the Northeast Hydrometeorological Central with percentage of satisfactory forecasts ≥70 % and unsatisfactory forecasts FAR≤0.5. At Hon Dau station, only 2 forecasting equations for February and March satisfying the above two conditions were selected to recommend forecasting.
Full text article
References
[2]. Phan Văn Tân (1992). Đặc điểm chế độ mù, sương mù khu vực biển và ven bờ vịnh Bắc Bộ. Báo cáo khoa học đề tài cấp Nhà nước KT-0.3-04.
[3]. Phan Văn Tân (1994). Đặc điểm chế độ và phương pháp thống kê vật lý dự báo sương mù khu vực biển và ven bờ vịnh Bắc Bộ. Luận án phó tiến sĩ khoa học địa lý - địa chất, Hà Nội.
[4]. Brown R. And Roach W.T (1976). The phisics of radiation fog. A numerical study: Quart. J. R. Met. Soc.
[5]. B. Zhou, G. Dimega, I. Gultepe (2010). Forecast of low visibility and fog from NCEP-current status and efforts. Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Fog, Minster, Germany.
[6]. John R. Starr (1997). Meteorological Office College. Forecasters’s reference book.